escudo Universidad de Vigo
FSI.RU : Flexible Statistical Inference Research Unit


International Seminar on Multi-State Models
Vigo, May 18th 2005

Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales
Universidad de Vigo
Campus Universitario Lagoas-Marcosende
36310 Vigo – Spain

Local Organizer:
Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez
Departamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa
Universidad de Vigo

Scientific Committee:
Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez (Universidad de Vigo)
Carmen María Cadarso Suárez  (Universidad de Santiago de Compostela)

Supported by:  Research Comission, Universidad de Vigo

* * *


Multi-state models
are the most commonly used models for describing the development for longitudinal data. In medicine, the states describe conditions like healthy, diseased, diseased with complications, and death. In econometric literature on unemployment lengths, multi-state models arise when considering the state biography, or multiple destinations such as "recall to an old job" or "finding a new job". In sum, multi-state models are useful for modelling multivariate and multiple survival data.

This international seminar brings the opportunity of attending to several talks on special topics of much interest, in the field of multi-state models. The invited speakers are leading researchers on this area and related ones, with much experience on both theoretical and applied research. We hope that this seminar will serve to promote multi-state modelling among local researchers, and to confront different approaches in modelling and inference from multivariate survival data.

* * *

10:00 Opening Ceremony

Welcome by the Vice-Rector of Institutional Relations, the Dean of the Faculty of Economics and Business, and the Chair of the Department of Statistics and Operations Research (University of Vigo)

10:30 – 11:30
Daniel Commenges (Institut of Public Health, Epidemiology and Development ISPED - Université Victor Segalen Bordeaux 2)

“The dementia-institution-death model: multistate and counting processes points of view”

11:30 – 12:00 Coffee break

12:00 – 13:00
Luis F. Meira-Machado (Department of Mathematics for Science and Technology, Universidade do Minho)

“Nonparametric estimation of transition probabilities in a non-markov illness-death model”

13:00 – 14:00
Per K. Andersen (Department of Biostatistics – Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen)

“Intensity-based models and marginal models for multi-state analysis based on counting processes”

14:00 – 16:00 Lunch time

16:00 – 17:00
Philip Hougaard (Biostatistics Department, International Clinical Research, H. Lundbeck A/S)

“A comparison of frailty and multi-state models: theory and practice”

17:00 – 17:30  Rejoinder

* * *


Carmen Cadarso Suárez (Universidad de Santiago de Compostela)
Jacobo de Uña Álvarez (Universidad de Vigo)
Luis F. Meira Machado (Universidade do Minho)
Per K. Andersen (University of Copenhagen)
Philip Hourgaard (H. Lundbeck A/S - University of Southern Denmark)
Daniel Commenges (Université Victor Segalen Bordeaux 2)
Alberto Rodríguez Casal (Universidad de Vigo)
Guadalupe Gómez Melis (Universidad Politécnica de Catalunya)
Alejandro Pedromingo Marino (GlaxoSmithKline, Dpto. Biometría, Madrid)
M. Carmen Iglesias Pérez (Universidad de Vigo)
Jorge M. Pires Mendonca (Instituto Politécnico do Porto)
Anna Espinal (Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona)
Juan Carlos Pardo Fernández (Universidad de Vigo)
Daniel Táboas Rodríguez (Universidad de Vigo)
Ana Paula Costa da Conceicao Amorim (Universidade do Minho)
Jaime Huertas (Universidad Politécnica de Catalunya)
M Teresa Seoane Pillado (Universidad de Santiago de Compostela)
Mónica López Ratón (Universidad de Santiago de Compostela)
Amalia Jácome (Universidad de Vigo)
César Sánchez Sellero (Universidad de Santiago de Compostela)

* * *

Important remark: Limited audience, due to restrictions of space at the seminar room. E-mail pre-registration required (no registration fee). To this end, send an e-mail to including name and affiliation. Deadline: April 29th

* * *